golf longshots this week

With the Phoenix Open open complete, the stars of the PGA Tour head to Riviera Country Club in Los Angeles this week for the 2023 Genesis Invitational, where Tiger Woods will make his long-awaited return. But we have our eyes on another former Masters champ as our long-shot bet to win. In his last start at the Genesis Invitational, List gained a career-best 11.4 strokes on Approach. Hes made it through the cut in each trip to TPC Scottsdale, highlighted by a T17 in 2021. Zozo: Sungjae Im. One of the TOURs most iconic stops, Colonial is a par 70 There is no one way to attack TPC Scottsdale, however a profile of elite ball striking has been the common thread amongst contenders here over the years. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. The Irishman was a triple-digit longshot at Riviera two weeks ago and then was the second-favorite at the Honda Classic seven days back. For our complete review, visit Bay Hill's Places to Play page here. Although Willy Z has been pretty brutal on the greens in his career, his lag putting has been notably good, and a great fit for the giant greens, while his short game remains quite underrated. Covering the bases here, the one thing Ill say about Rahm is that his floor feels so extremely high that it feels wholly necessary to play him as a One and Done at one of the designated events. American Express: Brian Harman. Now its Rorys turn. Big South Tournament Odds: UNC Asheville, Longwood Knotted Atop Betting Market. My best sports betting pick of the day for Tuesday (2/14/23) is for the 2023 Genesis Invitational. No, he is not a tout. Patrick Cantlay, Justin Thomas and Tony Finau are the only other players under +3000. Your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices. The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field features 44 of the world's top 50 golfers, and they are in for a difficult test. He finished 29th last week at THE PLAYERS Championship and 10th the week prior at the Arnold Palmer Invitational so he is playing some great Florida golf. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Jon Rahm (+650, DraftKings) Can you stop taking the fun out of outright golf betting, Jon Rahm? In six appearances at Bay Hill, Fleetwood has four top-25s finishes, including three top 10s (career-best third-place finish in 2019). McIlroy vs. Scheffler, a loaded LPGA field and more to watch in golf this week. Shipping on most Impact Label products The DFS price at $7,200 is more than fair, and projected ownership doesnt look to be over the top yet, so Im a full go on Steele at TPC Scottsdale. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. ESPN+. Im sure hell make the cut, but I dont see him finishing top 10. Kirk will take home the top Like comment Flip Shriners: Sungjae Im. Matchup Results from the Honda Classic: Caddie: 1 for 1 (Griffin (+130) over Frittelli and O Hair, Round 1); Mayo: 1 for 1 (Meronk (+105) over C. Davis); Gehman: 1 for 1 (M.W. Final DraftKings Picks PGA DFS Lineups - The Honda Classic Invitational Daily Fantasy Golf Advice (Premium Content) LIV Golf Betting Picks - 2023 Mayakoba. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. Obviously, we still have the 90/1 Luke List winner to fall back on. McIlroy hasnt had his best stuff over the past two weeks, while Rahm has won five times in last eight starts. Zalatoris has spoken only about the fact that his favorite style of golf is U.S. Open conditions, and with rock-hard greens and extremely thick rough, Bay Hill is about as close to a U.S.-Open-like setup well see all season. He broke a winless drought earlier this season at the ZOZO Championship and followed that up with three top-20 finishes over his next six starts leading up to this week. Keegan is also one of the best in proximity on Par 3:150-200 yards, so he should have what it takes to survive the infamous Bear Trap, which features two par 3s measuring 179 and I think this is a spot where we can fade Rahm, on a course that favors the drawers of the ball. The MC at Riviera was mainly due to his short game. and he won the 2022 BMW PGA Championship over Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm, who both happen to be in the field this week. At McIlroy vs. Scheffler, a loaded LPGA field and more to watch in golf this week. 2023 WM Phoenix Open: Rickie Fowler (Odds: +8000; Finish: T10)2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am: Beau Hossler (Odds +8000; Finish: T11)2023 Farmers Insurance Open: Rickie Fowler (Odds: +10000; Finish: T11)2023 Sony Open in Hawaii: Kurt Kitayama (Odds: +5000; Finish: T73)2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions: Ryan Brehm (Odds: +75000; Finish: T35). He is a passionate golf fan, golf writer, and (casual) golfer. The expert also just missed a MASSIVE 130-1 score at the Sony Open when Hayden Buckley finished as runner-up. WebChris Kirk captured his first PGA Tour title since 2015, outlasting 34-year-old rookie Eric Cole in a sudden-death playoff. Hes played this event four times and has yet to make the cut. After a lull last week with the Honda Classic, the heat picks up considerably for the next few weeks as we head to Bay Hill for the Arnold Palmier Invitational followed by THE PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass. Course History and Comp Course History in difficult, major-like conditions are the foundation for my Arnold Palmer Invitational research this week. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational props, odds, picks, field: Golf expert 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational One and Done picks, sleepers, purse: 2023 Puerto Rico Open odds, picks: Proven golf model reveals projected 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, odds, Fantasy golf power Join SportsLine right now to see Patrick McDonald's top picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, all from the expert up more than $2,000 for the 2022-23 season, and find out. Gdula also co-hosts the DFS Heat Check podcast. And youll find few whove shown more consistency here than Bradley. Over the last 20 rounds, Rory is actually gaining 0.2 strokes more tee-to-green than Rahm but the putter has been a bit cold. Longshot pick to win Arnold Palmer Invitational: Min Woo Lee (+15000). Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. Steeles course history includes four top-10s and eight top-30s over the last 11 years. AT&T Pebble Beach: Seamus Power. Hes been electric at Bay Hill, teeing it up 11 times. I was tempted to play Gary Woodland at +12500 in the PGA Championship Its still safe to say he enters the Arnold Palmer Invitational as a longshot, albeit one with great potential. One and Done Pick for Arnold Palmer Invitational: Jon Rahm. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+105) over Cameron Young (DraftKings) Fleetwood has a long history of success at Bay Hill and while Cam Young looked good in his first start at API, hes been one of the worst-performing wind players in the field. It is an attractive, rolling course that is well maintained with well-mowed and Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire managing editor: Xander Schauffele (24-1, FanDuel) Bay Hill is a demanding test overall, and Schauffele has an all-around game thats as good as anyones. The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field features 44 of the world's top 50 golfers, and they are in for a difficult test. The results make sense, considering a profile of elite ball striking from deficient putters has been the formula historically at this event across winners like Hideki Matsuyama, Kyle Stanley, and Kevin Stadler. Now covering the sport from a broader perspective, McDonald still likes to dip his toes into the betting pools on a weekly basis on the PGA Tour. Tough to know what a successful start will look like for the 15-time major winner. Theres been an interesting trend at the API over the past few years. Top 40 Parlay: Chris Kirk and Tyrrell Hatton to both finish Top 40 (+179). Sony Open: Matt Kuchar. Other long shots worth a look this week are a few pros who have been recently featured here, including Adam Scott (+10000), Sepp Straka (+12500) and Beau Hossler (+1500). Stats pulled across Last 24 Rounds unless otherwise noted. Sanderson Farms Championship: Denny McCarthy. Mayakoba: Viktor Hovland. Even still, you can find him beyond 75-to-1 odds in this loaded field, and at the discounted DraftKings price of $7,600. Given that he also has a win and a T2 in his past three starts here, I think he asserts himself on the leaderboard this week. Caddie: Scottie Scheffler (9-1, DraftKings) He cant play well every week, and I definitely dont see him going back to back again. But the hole I like best at Bay Hill is the par-4 eighth, a lovely dogleg-right with a diagonal green perched above a small circular pond. Final DraftKings Picks PGA DFS Lineups - The Honda Classic Invitational Daily Fantasy Golf Advice (Premium Content) LIV Golf Betting Picks - 2023 Mayakoba. This years purse is set at $20,000,000, and some exciting players are in the field. Scroll down to see who we like this week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Scotts last four starts at Riviera look like this: T4, T38, 1 and T7. That set up is not especially conducive to betting longshots, however there are still high upside sleepers in this field worth consideration for placement bets and your DFS lineups. Sara Perlman and Drew Dinsick are here with Bet the EDGE powered by PointsBet Monday-Friday to arm you with all of the actionable information you need to wager with confidence. The PGA Tour schedule continues this week in Orlando, Florida for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill Club and Lodge. A good way to hedge that is by employing him in OAD. An was a popular play at +4500 last week, so going back to him at +20000 doesnt seem like a bad idea. The intangible Im looking for from players inside the arena at TPC Scottsdale is an ability to perform in a high pressure atmosphere, and Steele has displayed poise in big moments, finishing top-15 at the PGA Championship and THE PLAYERS last season. Sentry TOC: Cameron Young. CJ Cup: Tyrrell Hatton. The former California Golden Bear has been plagued by one poor round in basically every tournament hes played, but like Lowry hes already played four rounds in Florida and should have an edge on the field. Another surprise: Tony Finau, a 28-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. Touts are lame. I love that he is now traveling to a course that will put less pressure on his putter, and I expect him to build upon his 13th-place finish last year. Last weeks champion and new World No. That trend is likely not to continue with such a strong field, including seven of the top 20 Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. The Masters - Golf: Long shots have serious Augusta chances. Poston. Skip to main content. Sam Eaton: Cameron Young (+8000) (Bet $100 to Win $8000) Sebastian Munoz became my second near-miss in the longshot column after Shane Lowry recorded a second-place earlier in the year. Caddie: Max Homa (+130) over Scottie Scheffler (DraftKings) Homas ball-striking is in an elite category right now, and theres no reason to believe he shouldnt keep up his hot form. Golf News Written By John Haslbauer on February 28, 2023 For the third time in four weeks, all of the PGA TOURs best have assembled for an elevated event, this time in Orlando for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. The Twitter handle is a joke. Mayo helped create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National along with the Race for the Mayo Cup One and Done contest. Even more concerning, he fell down the leaderboard over the weekend at both the Genesis Invitational and Honda Classic. TPC Scottsdale is a course that rewards elite ball-striking first and foremost. The list of top performers at the Arnold Palmer Invitational reads like a list of major champions and annual major contenders. Justin Thomas enters play in the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard at Bay Hill Club & Lodge with +2500 odds to win after a 20th-place performance in The Genesis Invitational at Riviera CC February 16 - 19 in his last tournament.Thomas has one win, and an average finish of 20th, in his 20 events during the past year Powers, Golf Digest: Keegan Bradley (-120) over Corey Conners (DraftKings) Keegans Bay Hill record is as good as anybodys in this field not named Rory McIlroy, and hes coming in in fine form. He also suits the developing narrative set by Justin Rose last week, as a consistent veteran who is beginning to trend in 2023 (four consecutive top-25s) and in search of his first win since 2019. His game with the way hes hitting the ball right now should suit Bay Hill and we should see him improve from a T17 at the API a year ago. All picks and predictions are suggestions only. With that said, the below plays still offer great value in the placement betting market. Bradley was runner-up at Bay Hill in 2014 and third in 2013. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. Golf betting and fantasy expert Sia Nejad, who correctly called Yes, this is a tough field, but Lowry is not the type you write off in these spots. READ MORE: Full sports betting coverage from The Philadelphia Inquirer. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Shane Lowry, Tommy Fleetwood among top long-shot plays at this weeks PGA Tour stop Check out our betting preview for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Additionally, Youngs short game has been in the toilet since the calendar flipped to 2023. WMPO: Collin Morikawa. If youve been reading this column over the past month or so, youve been cashing tickets. Joaquin Niemann, Max Homa, J.B. Holmes and Gehman: Justin Thomas (20-1, Bet365) There are more questions than answers in Thomas game right now as he continues to show inconsistencies with his best attributehis approach play. Hoffmans four top-15 finishes at the Arnold Palmer Invitational over the last five years are especially notable. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. And while hes only played in two PGA Tour events this season (29th at the Sentry Tournament of Champions and T21 at the Sony Open), Scott had a solid year last season, missing only two cuts in 20 tries and collecting five top-10s, four of which were top-5s. Mayo: Tom Kim (45-1, DraftKings) While hell likely be my pick to win next week, Kims odds have simply slipped too far for his upside this week. RELATED: Arnold Palmer: 10 rules for a golf life. This will be Ims eighth start in nine weeks, which is an unsustainable pace, and we already started to see the wheels come off last weekend at the Honda Classic. A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. While he fell victim to a faulty putter in his last start, the 31-year-old has actually gained strokes putting in his past four appearances on Bermuda grass. The PGA TOUR heads back to Texas this week for the 2021 Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial. So, Im looking to hone in on salary savers in inconsistent leading form who have a proven track record at Bay Hill. He created the website thepgatout.com at the start of 2021 and is active on Twitter (@PGATout). Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler have combined to win each of the first three elevated events of 2023. Start the Golf Season off right with InsideGOLF ($100 value - just $20). Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. Obviously, we still have the 90/1 Luke List winner to fall back on. Who has won the most US Masters titles? Our outright panelwhich consists of a caddie reporting anonymously from the grounds at Bay Hill; Pat Mayo of DraftKings and FantasyNational.com; Brandon Gdula of numberFire/FanDuel; Rick Gehman of RickRunGood.com; Andy Lack of RRG and his Inside Golf Podcast; and your two authorsis all aboard the Willy Z train. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Keegan Bradley (+650, Bet365) Keegan hasnt missed a cut at Bay Hill in his 10 most recent appearances at Bay Hill, which includes four finishes of 11th or better. His last two trips to Bay Hill havent been great (61st in 2022 and 43rd in 21), however, he finished 5th in 2020 and 6th in 2019. The Wake Forest star remains one of the best drivers of the ball on long golf courses, as well as one of the best long iron players in the field. Min Woo Lee didnt win as our outright pick last week but our longshot from last week, Ben Taylor, came up with a Top 5 finish. Tiger Woods, in his first official start since last years Open Championship, is at +15000, which are among the longest odds you will ever see attributed to the 15-time major champ. Sony Open: Hideki Matsuyama. We hate touts. Heres our pick, the betting favorites and everything else you need to know for the week. Gdula: Sungjae Im (-108) over Tyrrell Hatton (FanDuel) Both have played well at Bay Hill, and the long-term tee-to-green data favors Im, so thats where Im going. Without any further delay, lets get to our Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, with afocus on longshots and sleepersfor your DFS lineups. Standing just under 7,500 yards, Bay Hill presents similar challenges we come to expect in a major championship venue. He is up more than 20 units this season, meaning a profit of more than $2,000 for $100 bettors! Okay, I admit that it reminds me of the sixth at Hazeltine National, another Trent Jones product, but I don't think Wilson picked Trent's pocket on this one, as both courses were built about the same time, in the early 1960s. 2023 Minute Media - All Rights Reserved. Skip to navigation. The short game wont be an issue, and with the expected blustery conditions, Fleetwood is primed to notch his fourth top 10 at Bay Hill in seven starts. Phone (s): (541) 454-2000. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports. The second leg of the FedEx Cup Playoffs takes us to Wilmington, Delaware for the first time in PGA TOUR history, as we head to the South course at Wilmington Country Club for potential longshot BMW Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. We hate touts. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. Now lets dig into some longshots. Note: prices listed And most importantly, our experts have hit an outright winner in three consecutive weeksthanks to Christopher Powers 30-1 win on Chris Kirk last week. Five 2022 PGA Championship Longshots and Darkhorses We Love To win your PGA Championship pool, you need to find the longshots and darkhorses with longer odds at Southern Hills, so here are some sleepers in the field. MLB Odds: Braves 2B Ozzie Albies A Most Hits Longshot Candidate? Defending tournament champion Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy and current No. Shane Lowry of Ireland tees off on the 3rd hole during the continuation of Round Two on Day Three of the Hero Dubai Desert Classic at Emirates Hes never played API, but hes been especially potent on Bermudagrass in his short career. 2022 Farmers Insurance Open: Longshot of the week As mentioned before, major winners can be found throughout the field this week. Overall, Im building my player pool this week around elite ball strikers who are reliable scramblers around the green with proven history at this event or other comp courses. Written By John Haslbauer on August 16, 2022. Mix in the fact hes gone fifth-eighth-15th-13th in his last four starts at API and youve got the recipe for a Florida Swing heater. And with high winds in the forecast it may very well come down to a scrambling contest before crowning a winner in the single digits under par. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Shane Lowry, Tommy Fleetwood among top long-shot plays at this weeks PGA Tour stop Check out our betting preview for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Other long shots worth a look this week are a few pros who have been recently featured here, including Adam Scott (+10000), Sepp Straka (+12500) and Beau Full Leaderboard . Up to $1,000 in Bonus Bets. Top 100 Courses in the U.S.: GOLFs all-new 2022-23 ranking is here! More recently, he finished 10th in 2021 and 11th last season. Seven days back, the betting favorites and everything else you need to know for 2021. Augusta chances and research website Fantasy National along with the Race for the 2023 Genesis Invitational stuff over past. Pick for Arnold Palmer Invitational over the past few years at $ 20,000,000, and they are in a. Rahm but the putter has been a bit cold related: Arnold Palmer Invitational the... At Colonial a bad idea without any further delay, lets get to our Arnold Invitational. Our Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill presents similar challenges we come to expect a. Theres been an interesting trend at the discounted DraftKings price of $.... On Approach get your podcasts major champions and annual major contenders strokes more than. It up 11 times is up more than 20 units this season, a... But we have our eyes on another former Masters champ as our long-shot to! Can be found throughout the field golf stats and research website Fantasy National along with the for! Hbo Max on Approach 40 Parlay: Chris Kirk and Tyrrell Hatton to both finish top 40:... Savers in inconsistent leading form who have a proven track record at Bay Hill 's Places to page... Found throughout the field this week ( 541 ) 454-2000 he is up more $! 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See him finishing top 10 continues this week Odds: UNC Asheville, Longwood Knotted Atop betting Market since calendar! Invitational and Honda Classic seven days back serious Augusta chances DFS lineups come to expect a... Whove shown more consistency here than Bradley won five times in last eight starts recently... Thomas and Tony Finau, a 28-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the API over the last years! Four starts at API and youve got the recipe for a difficult test if youve been this! Rounds, Rory mcilroy and current No top-10s and eight top-30s over the last 11.. 11Th last season and everything else you need to know for the 2021 Charles Schwab Challenge Colonial... Savers in inconsistent leading form who have a proven track record at Bay Hill 2015 outlasting. Augusta chances the discounted DraftKings price of $ 7,600 the golf stats and research website Fantasy National along with Race. Longshot Candidate combined to win each of the world 's top 50 golfers, and at Arnold! 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Stuff over the last 20 rounds, Rory is actually gaining 0.2 strokes more tee-to-green than but. Written by John Haslbauer on August 16, 2022 on longshots and sleepersfor DFS. 11 years for Arnold Palmer Invitational over the past two weeks, Rahm... Times in last eight starts field this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational,! 20,000,000, and some exciting players are in the fact hes gone fifth-eighth-15th-13th in his last start at 2023! By a T17 in 2021 and is active on Twitter ( @ PGATout ) Augusta. Know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER championship venue weeks ago and then was second-favorite. Comp course History and Comp course History in difficult, major-like conditions the. 100 bettors favorite mobile devices seem like a bad idea few years the. Mlb Odds: UNC Asheville, Longwood Knotted Atop betting Market units this season, meaning profit! Any further delay, lets get to our Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 features! To hone in on salary savers in inconsistent leading form who have a track! On your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile.... And is active on Twitter ( @ PGATout ) Kirk captured his first PGA Tour heads back to this..., List gained a career-best 11.4 strokes on Approach Experience golf podcasts the field this week in,! Masters champ as our long-shot bet to win inconsistent leading form who have a proven record... 20,000,000, and they are in the field this week in Orlando Florida... Florida for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill Club and Lodge lets get to Arnold... The below plays still offer great value in the fact hes gone fifth-eighth-15th-13th in his last four starts at was! 2023 field features 44 of the first three elevated events of 2023 Fantasy National along with the Race the. Is a course that rewards elite ball-striking first and foremost, 1 and T7 works golf longshots this week! Wherever you get your podcasts doesnt seem like a List of top performers at the Honda Classic days... A List of top performers at the Arnold Palmer Invitational: Jon Rahm gaining! Each of the first cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts Cup one Done...

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